蛇蝎美人第二季
卡中国脖子?日本妄想!_我的网站

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B | 近日,日本新修订的《输出贸易管理令》正式生效。 CANBERRA, Australia -- Ultramarathon runner Pat Farmer ended a 14,400-kilometer (8,950-mile) run at the central Australian sandstone landmark Uluru on Wednesday after a seven-month journey to raise public support for the creation of an Indigenous advocacy body in the constitution.Australians will vote on Saturday at a referendum that would enshrine in the constitution a so-called Indigenous Voice to Parliament, a mechanism for Indigenous Australians to advise lawmakers on policies that effect their lives.Prime Minister Anthony Albanese was at Uluru, which is an Indigenous sacred site also known as Ayers Rock, to welcome the 61-year-old runner’s arrival.Albanese said he had “utter admiration and awe” for Farmer’s commitment for the cause which opinion polls suggest is unlikely to succeed.“No one has done more than this bloke and I am very pleased to welcome him here at Uluru,” Albanese said.Farmer said his first glimpse of the enormous rock rising from the flat Australian wilderness at a distance of 40 kilometers (25 miles) brought a tear to his eye.“I’m glad. Very, very happy to be at this point in time, this point in the world’s time where we start to acknowledge Indigenous communities right around the world and the significance of that culture,” Farmer told reporters.The former lawmaker's run began in Hobart on the island state of Tasmania on April 17 and traversed every Australian state as well as both mainland territories.Uluru has special significance in the campaign to create the Voice as a means of acknowledging Indigenous Australians in the constitution.The Voice was recommended in 2017 by a group of 250 Indigenous leaders who met at Uluru. They were delegates of the First Nations National Constitutional Convention the then-government had asked for advice on how the Indigenous population could be acknowledged in the constitution.Indigenous senator Pat Dodson, the government’s envoy for promoting the Voice, joined the referendum campaign on Wednesday for the first since taking medical leave in April for treatment of non-Hodgkin lymphoma.He said in a National Press Club speech he remained confident that a majority of Australians would vote for the Voice despite polls showing its popularity had slid in recent months.A “No” decision would be a backward step for Australia after the High Court ruled in 1992 that Indigenous Australians had land rights that predated British colonization and after the Australian Parliament apologized to the Indigenous population in 2008 for past injustices, Dodson said.“Do you want to go forward or do you want to go backwards or do you want to do nothing? Do you want to look yourself in the mirror and have pride the next day, or have some doubts and uncertainties and even an increase in shame? ” Dodson asked voters.While recent opinion polls suggest most Australians oppose the Voice, a poll published Wednesday found 59% of Indigenous respondents were in favor.That support had slipped from more than 80% supported suggested by polls published early this year.The latest poll published in The Sydney Morning Herald newspaper was based on an online survey of 420 Indigenous voters between Sept. 22 and Oct. 4. It has a 4.8 percentage point margin of error.Indigenous Australians account for 3.8% of Australia’s population. They have worse outcomes on average than other Australians in a range of measures including health, employment, education, incarceration and suicide rates. Statistically, Indigenous Australians die around eight years younger than the wider community.。这意味着,一些精密机床对华出口从批量许可变为“一事一议”,审批周期最长可能被拉至半年,尤其是在航空航天、军工、半导体等重点行业,被驳回率可能将超过80%。

C | 日本指望打出“机床牌”卡住中国脖子,换取稀土供应等谈判筹码,同时也向美国对华遏制战略递上“投名状”。然而,这注定是一场“自损一千”的战略妄想。

D | 一方面,中国市场是日本机床企业最重要的盈利来源,占其海外出口总额约32%。据《日本经济新闻》报道,日本国内机床订单额自2023年开始已连续3年下滑。在这样的背景下,强行断供中国订单,对日本机床企业无异于“自残”。另一方面,中国高端机床早已不是白纸一张,而是正处在从“助跑”到“腾飞”的临界点。在中低端市场,国产替代早已铺开;在高端领域,一批企业也在加速突围。今年1月,德国机床制造商协会发布的数据显示,中国机床出口超过德国首次跃居全球首位。该协会称,中国占全球机床出口业务的份额为21.6%,而德国降到了16.7%。

E | 当然,相比国际尖端水平,中国高端机床的现实差距也必须正视。

F | 过去,国内企业习惯了“造不如买”,这不仅将国内市场让给了外方,也让国产设备缺少大规模试错验证、积累经验的机会。如今,当下游用户别无选择,国产设备将迎来一场证明自己的“大考”。短期阵痛可能无法避免,但长期看,这必将倒逼国产供应链完成升级。历史反复证明,中国这么大市场,“卡脖子”卡不住中国。任何试图通过技术封锁遏制中国发展的企图,最终都是倒逼中国完成自主可控,最终只会失去中国市场。病急乱投医,日方不反思自身的病灶,反而在错误道路上狂飙突进,其结果早已注定。

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